ASH KRONOS

SOL/BTC/ETH/XRP real-time prices, 5m/15m/1h candles, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, volume

8 exact daily markets: {asset}-up-or-down-on-{month}-{day} for BTC/SOL/ETH/XRP. Real orderbook best-ask pricing (not Gamma mid-price).

Crypto Fear & Greed Index (0-100). Extreme Fear = contrarian BUY signal

Solana on-chain pipeline via Helius RPC. 4 DEX programs: Jupiter, Raydium, Orca, Raydium CLMM. 185 swaps/cycle. TPS monitoring, whale wallet tracking, priority fees, buy/sell pressure.

Perpetual futures funding. Negative = shorts paying longs = bullish bias

DeFi TVL, protocol volumes, chain-level liquidity data. Cross-referenced with Helius on-chain signals.

SQLite-backed orchestrator. Real-time weight adjustment (+5% correct, -8% wrong, bounds 0.2-3.0). Benches brains after 3 wrong streak. Selects trading mode. Has final say.

Brains auto-pick trading mode every 15 min. Score based on: ADX, volatility, time of day, trending assets, day of week. Score ≥6=DEGEN, ≥3=AGGRESSIVE, ≥0=MONEY_MAKER, <0=CONSERVATIVE.

DEGEN mode locked until 20% profit above initial deposit. House money only. Max 30-min bursts. Capital preservation is RULE #1.

v7.2 Learning system. Analyzes trade history to compute hour multipliers, regime multipliers, direction bias per asset. Dynamic trade walls, bet multipliers, rate limits, and direction exposure. Circuit breaker aware.

ADX > 20, few EMA crosses, decisive candles. Full brain power. Momentum & Trend brains get 1.4x weight.

ADX < 20, many EMA crosses, small bodies. Momentum & Trend dampened to 0.5x. Up to 30% consensus penalty.

Volume spike + strong ADX + 3+ streak. Momentum 1.5x, Volatility 1.3x. Aggressive entry.

High ADX exhausting, indecisive candles. MeanReversion 1.5x. Fade the dying trend.

Tracks how fast Polymarket odds move over 5/10/15 min windows. If odds shift >5¢ while SOL barely moves = smart money detected.

Tracks 4 hours of price data, finds support/resistance via pivot clustering. 3+ bounces = +15-20% confidence boost.

4+ candle same direction = MomentumBrain gets 1.5x weight + 10% confidence. Clearest directional signal gets amplified.

Bet size = percentage of bankroll adjusted by consensus.
60-69% → 0.5-1.5% | 70-84% → 1.5-3% | 85%+ → 3-5%
× mode × asset × tilt × TF alignment × circuit breaker
Replaces old $1/$3/$5 flat tiers.

Submits FOK (Fill Or Kill) buy order to Polymarket's Central Limit Order Book. If no fill → order dies. No zombies.

Logs every trade to trade_log_v2.jsonl with consensus_pct, brain_votes, timeframe. Feeds outcome tracker + brain learning pipeline.

Stops adapt to consensus tier:
High (85%+): 50% hard, 2.0x TP, 20min hold
Medium: 45% hard, 1.8x TP, 15min
Low (60-69%): 30% hard, 1.5x TP, 10min
+ Trailing stop at 30%+ gain

Claims winnings from resolved markets automatically. Compounds back into bankroll.

Records if each brain was right or wrong. Updates brain weights: +5% correct, -10% wrong. Auto-benches brains ≤0.3x weight.

Cron every 30min. Audits prediction accuracy. Penalizes brains with >80% same-direction bias.

Tracks high water mark (peak bankroll). 4-level protection:
NORMAL (0-10%) → full trading
CAUTION (10-20%) → auto-CONSERVATIVE, 50% bet
DANGER (20-30%) → 85%+ consensus only, 25% bet
CRITICAL (30%+) → FULL STOP

Dollar-based daily limits replacing flat trade caps.
Scales with bankroll: 35% (small) → 15% (large).
Win-streak bonus +25%. Auto-resets midnight UTC. Smart bet trimming for partial fills.

Tracks actual win rates per consensus bucket (60-69, 70-84, 85+).
Blocks unprofitable buckets. Boosts profitable ones +20%.
Detects losing streaks → triggers tilt mode (bet ×50%).

Aggregates brain votes across 5m/15m/hourly/4h/daily for same asset.
CONFIRMED (3+ TFs agree): +10% consensus, +50% bet
ALIGNED (2 TFs): +5%, +25%
CONFLICTING: -10%, -25%

Scan speed adapts to market conditions:
BREAKOUT: 10s | TREND: 12s
REVERSAL: 15s | CHOP: 25s
Faster when it matters, slower to avoid noise.

Once a position is up 30%+, activates a trailing stop
15% below peak price. Locks in gains automatically
while letting winners run. No more giving back profits.

Live at asherpolybot.xyz — Brain grid, regime panel, equity curve, trade feed, analytics. Google OAuth protected.

Status server (port 8888) → sync_dashboard_state.py → GitHub push → Cloudflare auto-deploy.

Equity curve, performance heatmap, brain accuracy leaderboard, trade history, goal tracking ($10K).

Event-driven dashboard updater. Watches bot state files for mtime changes, rebuilds only dirty dashboard JSONs, pushes to git on a smart 2-min cycle. 7 update channels: President, Scanner, Portfolio, Trade Alerts, Status, Market, Helius.

Fetches live positions from Polymarket data API, USDC balance via Polygon RPC, calculates P&L, unrealized gains, and portfolio composition. Updates every 30s.

Tracks historical equity snapshots. Plots balance + positions over time. Cash flow tracking (deposits, withdrawals, redemptions). Powers the dashboard charts.

12 brains execute simultaneously via ThreadPoolExecutor(6). VP Brain runs after (needs all votes). 10-core M4 fully utilized.

60+ Gamma API calls fire concurrently via httpx.AsyncClient with semaphore(15). Replaces sequential requests. Connection pooling with HTTP/2.

4 DEX program fetches + 6 independent API calls (TPS, priority fees, whales, prices) run in parallel. All Helius data gathered simultaneously.

Write-Ahead Logging on secretary_brain.db + president.db. Concurrent reads during writes. Zero lock contention.

In-memory 10s TTL cache for JSON files: regime_status, odds_velocity, helius_latest. Zero redundant disk I/O per cycle.

Shared requests.Session objects across all API calls. TLS connection reuse — no per-request handshake overhead.

run_bot_v2.py — Main loop (regime-adaptive scan)
brain_voter.py — 13 brains + voting system
brain_zero.py — Layer 0 scanner (cron)
president.py — Orchestrator + feedback loop
auto_mode.py — Trading mode selector
regime_detector.py — Market mode classifier
odds_velocity.py — Smart money tracker
helius_fetcher.py — Solana on-chain pipeline
master_gate.py — 14 security guards
secretary_brain.py — On-chain pattern recognition
press_secretary.py — Dashboard updater
president_allocator.py — v7.2 learning system

circuit_breaker.py — 4-level drawdown protection
daily_budget.py — Dollar-based daily limits
win_rate_tracker.py — Consensus bucket tracking
timeframe_sync.py — Cross-TF signal confirmation
position_monitor.py — Adaptive stop-loss system
auto_trader.py — Compound growth execution
outcome_tracker.py — Brain weight learning
brain_verifier.py — Accuracy auditor

brain_stats.json — Brain performance stats (JSON persistence)
president.db — SQLite database for President Brain decisions
trade_log_v2.jsonl — Trade log with brain_votes + consensus
circuit_breaker_state.json — High water mark + drawdown level
daily_budget.json — Daily spending + win streak tracking
win_rate_data.json — Win rates per consensus bucket
timeframe_sync.json — Cross-TF vote history (TTL-based)
regime_status.json — Current market regime + scan interval